Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 47% Democrats 39% (It is really tightening, eh?)
Rasmussen Reports ^ Scott Rasmussen
Rasmussen Reports ^ Scott Rasmussen
With just three weeks to go until Election Day, Republicans hold an eight-point lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot.
Polling for the week ending Sunday, October 10, shows that 47% of Likely Voters would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate, while 39% prefer the Democrat.
The Republican advantage comes from a number of factors. One is the fact that midterm elections typically feature an older electorate with a smaller share of minority voters. Additionally, in 2010, there is clearly an enthusiasm gap favoring the GOP.
Due to these and other factors, the data projects that 35% of voters this year will be Republicans, while 33% will be Democrats. In the previous midterm election of 2006, the Democrats had a two-percentage point advantage. Unaffiliated voters strongly favored Democrats in 2006 and strongly favor Republicans this year.
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